Tag Archives: Tory

More bad news for Conservatatives


In some parts of the country there will be no doubt be local government elections owing to the ward boundary changes this was the Conservative Government doing not Labour as they would love to spin it as it was labour’s fault. Think of it this way if you like or dislike marmite it’s more of the taste that left in your mouth under the conservatives in a nutshell to ensure that all the main political parties don’t have a overall majority or they want to create a return of a two horse race in politics. There is no doubt people will have heard of the government austerity plan which continues to affect local services by implementing cuts. Yet the government expects local services to continue to run smoothly with the cuts to public services. Some people are turning to foodbanks, soup kitchens, junk food projects on the grounds of being on low incomes or they have had a sanction on their universal credit for various reasons which leaves a nasty sting in your throat. Both the government and press loves to play the blame game to target immigrants to avoid addressing the real issues which they fail to mention that food, prescription, and energy prices are increasing this includes rail and plane fares. Families struggling to make ends meet will be hit by the biggest annual benefits cut for six years, according to a new analysis that exposes the impact of continuing austerity measures on the low paid.

It’s alleged that Chancellor Philip Hammond is preparing to give a stripped-down spring statement where he is expected to boast of lower than expected borrowing figures. He will use them to suggest Britain has reached a “turning point”. He will point to forecasts showing the “first sustained fall in debt for a generation” to claim “there is light at the end of the tunnel” in turning around Britain’s finances. The cuts will affect around 11 million families, including 5 million of the struggling families that the prime minister stated she would focus on. It is further alleged that there will also be some good news for the low paid, with more than 1.5 million workers set to benefit from a 4.4% pay rise when the national living wage increases from £7.50 to £7.83 at the start of April. However, that measure will be outweighed by the effective £2.5bn cuts to working-age benefits. While there were bigger cuts in 2012 when child benefit was removed from higher earners, this year’s squeeze will fall on low- and middle-income families. The new analysis suggests these families are set for an average loss of £190 this year alone, though some will be far worse off. There are four key benefit cuts this year. Working-age benefits will be frozen for a third year, saving £1.9bn and affecting almost 11 million families. The 3% real-terms cut in working-age benefits this year will be by far the biggest of the freeze, set to last four years. A measure limiting benefit claims to a family’s first two children, costing up to £2,780 for a family having a third child, saves £400m this year and affects 150,000 families. The withdrawal of the family element of support for new tax credit and universal credit claims from families with children will cost families up to £545. It saves the public purse £200m this year and will affect 400,000 families.

Finally, the rollout of the controversial universal credit system, which combines several benefits into one payment, saves £200m because some claimants have lower entitlements compared with the existing system, especially the long-term sick and working families. It comes just days after Paul Johnson, head of the respected Institute of Fiscal Studies, warned that Britain was nowhere near out of austerity. Theresa May’s alliance with the DUP is facing fresh criticism after it emerged that the Government is set to protect Northern Ireland from free school meal cuts due to be imposed on poor children in England. The cuts planned for England stand in sharp contrast to the situation in Northern Ireland, where children of the “working poor” will get stronger protection. In legislation due before MPs today, English families on universal credit will see the income threshold for free school meals slashed to £7,400 a year. But in Northern Ireland, where the Government has just taken direct control of spending budgets, the same threshold for eligibility will be nearly double that rate, at £14,000. Theresa May already faces claims that she has “bought” the Democratic Unionist Party’s support with a pledge of £1bn in extra funds for Northern Ireland, at a time when the rest of the UK continues to suffer from Tory austerity.

I don’t have a problem with city councils charging customers to use their council parking facilities but it must be proportionate but what residents strongly object to is when people from outside use residential car parking bays which is for the residents those people are denying the residents the use of their car parking space or outsiders parking on the pavements blocking wheelchair users and pedestrians access to the pavements they have to walk around the badly parked cars which is a constant nightmare and communities should take back control of their residence car parking by having a residential parking schemes in their area like what they do in some parts of the UK. It’s been purported in the daily mail of increased car parking charges for some local authorities to plug holes in their budget. Motorists face steep hikes in parking charges to plug holes in council budgets. Car park spaces and residents’ permits will cost up to 45 per cent more. Some town halls are bringing in fees on Sundays to catch shoppers and churchgoers. Householders are already facing an above-inflation rise in council tax next month, with bills expected to go up by as much as £100 for the average property. A number of local authorities are in extreme financial difficulties with much of the pressure coming from the rising cost of social care.

The Government has been accused of “papering over the cracks” after it announced a new funding formula for schools that will see budgets fall in real terms and which “does nothing” to reverse cuts that have already been made. Tory cuts are starving schools of the funding they need to deliver a first-class education. Crippling underfunding across our city is driving up class sizes and forcing schools to cut corners. Justine Greening, the former Education Secretary, said schools will be given a funding rise of 0.5 per cent per pupil next year and a 1 per cent increase in 2019-20. The most under-funded schools will see their budgets rise by 3 per cent. Ms Greening announced last July that an additional £1.3bn will be invested in primary and secondary education. However, the rise for most schools is lower than the current 2.9 per cent rate of inflation, meaning it equates to a funding cut in real terms. The former Education Secretary also made no mention of any plans to reverse previous cuts to school budgets, which Labour said have totalled £2.7bn in real terms since 2015. Under the new National Funding Formula, primary schools will receive a minimum of £3,500 per pupil and secondary schools will get £4,800. Announcing the changes, Ms Greening told MPs: “This is an historic reform. It means, for the first time, the resources that the Government is investing in our schools will be distributed according to a formula based on the individual needs and characteristics of every school in the country.”  “Addressing these simple but damaging inequalities will represent the biggest improvement in the school funding system for decades.”

Britain’s housebuilding sector shrank at its sharpest pace on record at the start of the year, according to official figures.

The 9% downturn was the biggest month-on-month fall shown by data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) going back to the start of 2010.

It contributed to a bigger-than-expected decline for the wider construction sector, which contracted by 3.4% – the largest since June 2012.

The setback is likely to come as a disappointment for ministers seeking to boost the number of homes.

There was speculation that the demise of construction giant Carillion may also have hit the figures. The ONS said it could not comment on the impact of individual firms.

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said: “Rising interest rates and Brexit uncertainty are proving to be a toxic combination for the construction sector.”

Howard Archer, chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club, said: “The volatility of this sector suggests some bounceback is likely, although the recent bad weather presents a downside risk.”

Official figures also showed the manufacturing sector – which has been buoyed recently by the strength of the global economy and the weakness of the pound – only managed a rise of 0.1%, though it was the ninth month in a row of expansion.

GDP grew by just 1.7% last year – the slowest of the G7 advanced economies.

The slowdown has been attributed to the Brexit vote, which saw a collapse in the pound, driving up inflation and squeezing household spending, as well as creating business uncertainty seen as weighing on investment.

The Conservatives are braced for big losses in May’s local elections, after a poll found that few voters in London believe the party’s claim that its councils can spend less but still provide high-quality local services. The survey, commissioned by former Conservative treasurer Lord Ashcroft, suggests only three in ten voters in the capital see the Conservatives as the party of low council tax. A mere 18% believe Tory-run boroughs deliver on the promise of lower bills and better service. It will nevertheless make worrying reading at Conservative HQ, where analysts believe it may reflect a nationwide trend.

When I look into the conservative policies I’m more than convinced that there is more bad news for them in the form of a meltdown for them and I’m more incline too urge all to vote Labour on the 3 May in local elections 2018

 

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Conservatives gives us more desperate times


photoAfter the defeat of a Labour Government in 2010 many saw a coalition formed between Conservatives and LibDems which left Labour in the cold. Many are wondering has Labour regained its mojo to win in 2015 General Elections given the negative press against them.

Whilst some people are revisiting the 1992 elections quoting that Labour was defeated and this may happen in 2015 again. My view is everybody is entitled to a view from all the political persuasions as I continue to maintain that opinion polls will go up and down.

It’s a known fact that any political party(s) in government will be unpopular but what will make a big difference is policies given the circumstances after all the post conferences all three parties have given a good talk but what many wants to know can they do the walk.

Let’s begin with LibDem they make claims that they are better in Government as a coalition. Hmm I have mix views on this given their track record they broke their tuition fees and they will not be in government in their own right so they will sleep with any party provided their leader remain as deputy prime minister. So in a nutshell more of the same which Nick Cleggs is aware of which saw his membership down as some of them crossed over to Labour.

photo (1)Conservatives are in direr straights they saw some of their members and donors cross over to UKIP as they were not right-wing enough over immigration and Europe. There is a strong sense in the Conservative campaign if David Cameron does not perform then there will be a strong leadership challenge from three heavy weights after the 2015 if they don’t win outright. But before we go down this road let’s not forget there is a number of issues that are stacked up against the Tories with their Welfare Reform such as universal credits, Independent Living Allowance, Bedroom Tax, Go Home vans, Free Schools, Referendum, Big Society, Economy, and the Land of Opportunity most of which have failed under their flagship.

Since the end of Labour Party conference we have witnessed that Ed Miliband has champion the political agenda by leading on the cost of living, raise of energy price from the energy companies which has dominated in all the press and social network, and media which continuing to be a sticking point for David Cameron which saw his face gone from red, lobster red to bright red in which the Speaker of the House had to intervene by asking David Cameron to withdraw the comment of conman an attack towards Ed Miliband.

photo (2)If people think everything is fine just because of a tiny amount of growth then they need to wake up. The suffering since 2010 was not caused by Labour, it was caused by George Osborne’s incompetent economic failure and it’s still hurting now and will continue to for years to come.

When Osborne took over from Labour there was already growth in the economy Labour created, yet in just three months he sent us into a recession, one that is still going on in most of the country. It’s crazy for people to buy into the lie that Labour caused the financial crash, they did not. The banks in the US did and then UK banks followed.

Yet Labour turned round the economy and the recovery was going well. the message Labour put out in the run up to 2010 was vote Tory and risk the recovery, well that is exactly what happened because the Tories destroyed millions of lives, destroyed jobs, colleges and the ability to go to UNI, left 1 million young people on the scrap heap. Created and environment for low pay that does not cover the bills and have done not one thing ever to actually help the economy.

If there is a tiny amount of growth in the economy what you can bet it has nothing to do with the Tories.

Recently I read somewherein the Labourlist  that there are certain truths in politics that are held to be self-evident. The electorate doesn’t like divided parties. General elections are usually a battle between “time for a change” and “don’t let the other lot ruin it”. And, of course, “it’s the economy, stupid”. This last golden nugget first appeared in the US presidential election campaign of 1992. If it wasn’t actually unearthed by Bill Clinton’s “ragin’ Cajun”, James Carville, then its directness certainly evoked his personality perfectly. Campaign staffers were not allowed to forget what the key election issue was going to be. Never let any voter contact end without reminding them about the terrible state of the economy under Bush/Quayle, and how much better it would be under Clinton/Gore. The phrase has become a cliché among political campaigners. Only a fool would ignore the importance and centrality of the state of the economy to an election campaign.
So, it’s the economy, stupid. Friday’s third consecutive quarter of GDP growth, this time up 0.8% between July and September, should have been good news for the government and the Conservatives in particular. Friday morning’s YouGov poll gave Labour a six point lead over the Tories. But after that day’s positive economic news from the ONS, Sunday’s YouGov poll showed that Labour had a six point lead.
Two days are not long enough for good news to sink in, perhaps. The government will hope that 18 more months of growth will be recognised and felt by voters. But there is a bit of a problem here. Official aggregate data – GDP, levels of employment – may look good on paper. Ministers, their civil servants and advisers may get quite excited about them. But people do not live in a world of aggregate data. They live, as it were, as a “data point of one” – that is, as individuals and as members of a family. A quarter of 0.8% GDP growth is neither here nor there for most people. It is almost meaningless, in fact. What matters to individuals is their job prospects, their pay and their cost of living. It is a question of how they feel, not how much they believe in the abstract numbers they hear on the news.
Even the apparently positive jobs data need unpacking. Yes, record numbers of people are in work. But then, the population is bigger than ever before, too. Around a fifth of all part-time workers would rather work full-time – that’s roughly 1.5 million “under-employed” people. And unemployment figures themselves are doubtless flattered by the rise in self-employment over recent years (up by more than 10% since Jan ’09, to 4.2 million). Meanwhile, productivity remains low (another reason why unemployment is not higher, perhaps). It is not a healthy mix. As David Smith, economics editor of the Sunday Times, wrote yesterday: “A rise in employment alongside weak productivity is neither healthy nor sustainable.”
We all know what is happening to wages, and prices. Without higher productivity wages will not rise either, even with continued employment growth. Voters know about this stuff. They know that while economists may detect good news in technical terms, their lives are not improving. The link between that aggregate GDP number and their daily reality has been broken. Put it all together and you can see why one weekend’s good statistical news is not enough to shift many people’s views.
photo (5)The Conservatives have a difficult balancing act to pull off. If they overclaim on the strength of economic recovery they will sound hubristic and appear out of touch with the concerns of ordinary voters. But if they sound too sheepish or tentative about economic recovery voters might wonder just how convincing or sustainable economic recovery is. I wonder if, paradoxically, continued flatlining (or worse) might not have formed a better election-time backdrop for the Conservatives. This would have allowed them to blame Labour even more aggressively for the difficulties they had inherited – “It was much worse then we thought, we’re going to need more time.” Slow and gentle recovery, on the other hand, may make changing government seem less risky.
photo12I’m sure like many would partially agree that growth has returned, and things are starting to look a bit better. But then, when you stop hitting your head against a wall you tend to start feeling better too. Maybe one of those timeless, “iron laws” of politics is changing as well. It’s not “the economy”, stupid. It’s people’s lives. It’s not GDP, it’s the cost of living. It’s not abstract pronouncements, it’s reality. The party that is seen to understand this will win.
Intriguingly the government’s flagship welfare reform – Universal Credit – is starting the next phase of its national launch but far more slowly than intended. Yet the The National Audit Office has warned that the programme suffers from poor management and lack of planning, and David Cameron this week appeared to raise doubt about the 2017 timetable.
photo(1)The National Audit Office  also found that £34 million spent on computer systems and services for the project has been written off because it delivered no value for taxpayers.
Margaret Hodge, the committee chairman, savaged Robert Devereux, the DWP’s top official. “You yourself were not in sufficient day-to-day overall control in monitoring this process,” she told him. The committee identified what MPs said were extremely lax spending controls on the project. In one case, a senior civil servant gave a junior personal assistant the authority to sign off large IT contracts.
The criticism of officials follows claims made by Iain Duncan Smith, the Work and Pensions Secretary, that civil service failures are the main cause of problems with Universal Credit.
When I visit council estates and some social housing associations I have the opportunity to speak to many tenants who lives there they always say that all the politicians are there to line their pockets and they can’t see the light at the end of the tunnel and that’s why they don’t have any confidence with the three main political parties in a nutshell they break their promises when they get into office. Politicians will have to find new ways of rebuilding the trust with their constituency to regain the trust of the voters

 

Long term policies no longer exist from all the main political parties


Checkout this Youtube then make up your mind:

Its alleged 2009 audit debt equal 510 percent of GDP accumulated through bad management of the economy by politicians too scared to face the truth. Then there is the issue of Price Rises Under Tories Gas 45% Stamp 56% Water 20% RailFares 27% BusFare 22% Electric 39% Rent £1100/15% Food 19%

dwpLong term policies no longer exist. The under 35s will have to pay for the disasters of PFI a hand to mouth state pension close to collapse and massive debts incurred by both present and previous governments. The generation muddling through this mess will be the least well equipped for that work of any in centuries.

Detailed closely argued and lucid Howker and Malik’s analysis of UK is very worrying as can be and the figures shock.  At a time of austerity when both low and middle incomes are struggling to put rice and cabbage on the table to feed their children and cloth them, pay their mortgage or rent(s) then they come across headlines like Bank has room to raise UK rates which has a knock on affect which plays into the hands of payday loan and loan sharks encouraged to borrow from them at rates which they cannot afford to pay back.

photo (1)Whilst all this taking place with the coalition I have been consistent to inform my readers we continue to witness high levels of poverty from all quarters such as small businesses have to chase up other companies to pay up to only learn that they have gone into administration and they can’t pay their workers.

So far we all have read the announcements from three of the six energy companies of price rises in both electricity and gas on top of what they have to pay. Nor have we not forgotten train and bus fares have increased whilst this coalition sits on their bums and rub their hands all the way to their fatcat friends to say ” Oh great one look at we have done for the rich frack the low and middle incomes so continue to give us your large donations and forget about UKIP”

photo(1)UK Government debt always highest under the Tories don’t take my word for it, read the Tory supporting Spectator who (correctly) point out that under the Coalition of slathers and strippers will have borrowed more in 5 years than Labour did in 13 years #sameoldtories

Blind Tory Ideology, Bedroom Tax, Benefits Cap, Youth Employment scheme – none work and none have saved money but are driven by blind ideology and desire to stigmatise poor but they have no problems with tax dodgers and spivs like Jim Radcliffe the tax exile owner of #Grangemouth Refinery. Lynton Crosby‘s dog whistles are all over PR Dave’s “performance” today- they have had to import an immigrant to put the Nasty back into Nasty Party? Great PMQ for Labour – yesterday John Major tried to rescue the Tories from their political incompetence but the Bullingdon Boys were too far up to notice? #PMQ #sameoldtories

photo12We are seeing the return of absolute levels of poverty which have not existed on this scale since the Victorian age over a century ago. Relative poverty is when people can’t afford the comforts and enjoyments which most people have, but absolute poverty is when people haven’t the money to pay for even their most basic needs.

The evidence is all around us. There are now over 300 foodbanks in Britain, and the number is rising every week.

The Red Cross is setting up centres to help the destitute, just as they do in developing countries.

385294_195107567306966_1850351962_nA new study published this week shows that even in prosperous areas of the country such as London more than a quarter of the population are now living in poverty.

And a new scary fact is steadily emerging – an increasing number of these poverty households are not dependent on benefits but have people in work.

In northern England the first of the Northern Housing Consortium’s surveys, just published, presents a devastating picture.

It is based on 74 households, a small sample but one which broadly reflects all households living in the social rented sector.

It reveals that after paying for rent, food and other essential bills, two-thirds end up with less than £10 left each week while more than a third end up with nothing left at all.

photo (1)A quarter can only afford £20 or less on food per week. How many of the rest of us could survive on that?

Four-fifths of them are in debt, and not small levels of debt either – it averages nearly £2,500.

Some of the responses to the survey are heart-rending.

Take this one. “Hate the system. I have worked all my life and because work is so hard to find, I have been taking anything. I had a phone call one night and was offered three days work starting the next day.

“I did it, then went to the jobcentre to tell them I had earned three days money. They fined me for not telling them sooner, but I couldn’t as I’d had to start at 7.30am the next morning.

“Then I put a new claim in, then got another three days work. This has been on and off for months. I hate not working and will take what I can, but now this has messed all my benefits up and I’m getting fined.

“They stop my money and I have to sell things to pay bedroom tax and council tax. I am going to have nothing left at this rate. How can this be right when all I am trying to do is find a job?”

What makes this so gratuitously cruel for the victims is that it isn’t even necessary.

The pain is enforced, but the budget deficit is not being reduced.

The right way to cut the deficit is by public investment to stimulate the economy, cut the dole queues – it now costs £18 billion a year to keep the current 2.5 million unemployed out of work – and kick-start growth to turn the economy around, which the present fragile so-called “recovery” is certainly not doing.

Then, and only then, will the bitter scourge of absolute poverty be removed from this land. British Gas has joined SSE at the energy suppliers’ trough, imposing rises of 10.4 and 8.4 per cent for electricity and gas, but consumers must not despair because David Cameron is on the case.

Keen on reinforcing his reputation as upper class twit of the year Cameron suggests that unhappy consumers could switch suppliers for the best deal.

Why did no-one ever think of this before and advise us to undermine energy privateers’ efforts to impoverish us all by shopping around?

For the simple reason that SSE, British Gas, and Npower are just the first of the big six suppliers to announce their annual ransom demands. The other three won’t be long in following suit and, since the six dominate 99 per cent of the market, there is no escape.

Households need electricity and gas, so everyone is over a barrel, held hostage by a greedy oligopoly.

Only someone seriously hard of thinking would imagine that forensic investigation of a rigged market to get the best deal could throw up a viable alternative to extortion by private suppliers.

If Cameron really believed this, his family would be justified in demanding a refund from Eton in compensation for a wasted private education.

Of course he doesn’t. The Prime Minister, like all politicians who back privatisation, does so in the full knowledge that it is a tried and tested means of enriching the rich by further impoverishing the poor.

When he calls the British Gas rise “disappointing,” he is voicing his fear that voters might view him as somehow to blame for no other reason than he claims to run the country.

The electorate might look around other major parties to see if anyone is prepared to do anything about this daylight robbery.

Could it be Ed Miliband, who talks the talk, accusing Cameron of “standing up for the energy companies not the consumer” and of these firms “overcharging people in a market that’s not working and has broken?”

Unfortunately, the Labour leader won’t budge beyond his promise of a temporary tariff freeze before allowing the oligopoly to return to its old tricks. Gas and electricity used to be owned by all of us. Now it belongs to tiny wealthy elite who have bought the right to print money.

It is a symbol of division in society between those who set their own incomes through domination of the economy and those who scrabble around trying to make ends meet.

These are the people highlighted by Alan Milburn, who moved seamlessly from new Labour minister to the board of Pepsi Cola and then coalition hireling as the preposterously named “social mobility tsar.”

Alan Milburn, who had a previous honourable existence as a grassroots labour movement campaigner in Newcastle, is right to point out that work is no longer a cure for poverty because wage levels are too low.

But his targeting of pensioners’ winter fuel allowance and free TV licences to supposedly bridge Britain’s “fairness deficit” is way off the mark.

Setting better-off pensioners against hard-pressed younger families with children to overcome a supposed “intergenerational injustice” is irrelevant to the real division within society – class.

As long as the labour movement’s political representatives refuse to consider taking key areas of the economy, including the privatised utilities, into pubic ownership, working people will continue to be treated as poorly paid pawns by the ruling class.

On yer bike scroungers and get a job


downloadI’m sure many have come across press and social media which would make your blood boil recently and no it’s not about the headlines of Ed Miliband’s father but more of the negatives of people who lives a life on benefits.

Some of the cases which highlight concerns of a parent with 11 children who will not get out of bed unless she receives a job for the sum of £60,000 per annum. It’s no wonder why this will get everybody’s back up. In the documentation the interviewees is right to quote that there is no law set out on how many children to have unless you live in China with their one child policy.

photoIt’s little wonder why in certain quarters there are many that are angered which makes it hard for people who had lost their jobs recently through no fault of their own owing to world recession to depend on the dole and they have to depend on housing, council, and child benefits to top it up they face scaling down on their living standards whilst most will try to live within their means there are those who will abuse the system as they have not done a days work.

dwpI’m sure many who have worked hard for what they have got in life and paid their fair share of taxes in return for a state pension when they have contributed to the system to receive a decent public services and state benefits should they have lost their livelihood they will be entitled to receive state benefits to help them out until they regain employment I’m sure when they learn of stories like a parent with 11 children has two homes converted into one property it’s no wonder why people gets angry which the press and social media will continue to rant on about.

This leads me to say it no wonder why the coalition is taking this hard-line and in the process they tarnish all those people on benefits with the same brush. Yet on the other-side of the coin there are those who are receiving benefits who wants to work can’t find work due to the skills they have learned has been outdated they are the ones are who are retraining by learning new skills but as usual there is not enough jobs available unless there is a radical change takes place I’m afraid there will always be job shortage there is still time for the coalition to change directions by revisiting their social policies and help simulating the economy further by investing more in employment not just in the private sector but also in the public sector as the two works hand in hand if the coalition don’t change they will be part of the problem just look towards the USA notice that their local government is in partial shutdown which they can’t pay their local government staff all because the Republicans with the strong backing of the tea party wants President Obama to abundant his Health Care Plan which will be of benefit for the many and not the few who can afford health insurance.

In my opinion both David Cameron, Nick Clegg, George Osborne  and Iain Duncan smith are rubbing his hands with glee all the way to the bank at our expense as they have the full blessing of the right-wing press and television whilst the low and middle-income picks up the crumbs of the table wonder when they able to put rice on the table and look after our children to give a better life we never had as they are the future of tomorrow.

Iain Duncan Smith, the Work and Pensions Secretary, discloses the move in an interview with The Sunday Telegraph in which he outlines proposals to make the workforce “more mobile”.

The controversial plan echoes the words of Norman Tebbit in 1981 when he told the unemployed to “get on your bike” and look for work. It is part of tough action to cut spiralling welfare bills and tackle Britain’s record deficit.

Last week a major shake-up of housing benefit and increased health checks for disability claimants were announced as part of the biggest cuts in public spending for almost a century.

Mr Duncan Smith, the MP for Lord Tebbit’s former parliamentary seat of Chingford, disclosed that ministers were drawing up plans to encourage jobless people living in council houses to move out of unemployment black spots to homes in other areas, perhaps hundreds of miles away.

The former Conservative Party leader said millions of people were “trapped in estates where there is no work” and could not move because they would lose their accommodation.

The proposed scheme would allow them to go to the top of the housing list in another area rather than lose their right to a home if they moved.

“We have over the years, not us personally but successive governments, created one of the most static workforces in the western world,” Mr Duncan Smith said. “In Britain now we have workforces that are locked to areas and the result of that is we have over five-and-a-half million people of working age who simply don’t do a job.

“Often they are trapped in estates where there is no work near there and – because they have a lifetime tenure of that house – to go to work from east London to west London, or Bristol, or whatever is too much of a risk because if you up sticks and go you will have lost your right to your house.

“The local council is going to tell you that you don’t have a right to a house there, the housing association is not going to give you one.

“We have to look at how we get that portability, so that people can be more flexible, can look for work, can take the risk to do it.”

It is understood that the Coalition is looking at ways to provide incentives for workers to move to areas where there are jobs, rather than compelling them to move.

“Sometimes they may be lucky because work comes to those areas, we can reinvigorate it by regional tax reductions, so that’s all right where there are old coal mines and things, but you also need to have an element of flexibility.

“Sometimes you just need to be able to move to the work,” Mr Duncan Smith said.

As the welfare shake-up continues, ministers will unveil measures in the coming weeks to “make work pay” including changing the threshold at which claims are withdrawn so people who take work do not lose all their benefits.

But as well as incentives, there will be tough action to cut welfare bills which may prove controversial. Mr Duncan Smith, who is responsible for finding £11 billion of the extra £32 billion in savings earmarked by the Chancellor, disclosed details of moves to tackle “under occupation” of large council homes.

Last week, the Coalition said it would reform the housing benefit system to stop the state paying up to £100,000 a year in some cases to house families in expensive areas. But Mr Duncan Smith suggested that a tightening of the rules could apply more widely, meaning single occupiers or couples without children could be asked to leave larger houses. “We have tons of elderly people living in houses which they cannot run and we’ve got queues of desperate people with families who are living in one and two-bedroom houses and flats,” he said. Councils would be given more money in a hardship allowance to help families relocate, “to smooth this over, to encourage people to move”.

Mr Duncan Smith said the “excesses” of some council tenants living in large homes in expensive areas would end, adding: “We need to exert some downward pressure on this now.”

Every prime minister facing an imminent general election likes to enthuse his troops and the electorate at party conference by listing all the good things his government’s done.

spitDavid Cameron can’t because he has no positive achievements to publicise. He has the millionaires’ April tax break, the ongoing cuts in corporation tax, the uninterrupted profit and bonus bonanzas for banks and privatised utilities and the latest boost for property speculators through state-guaranteed mortgage deposits.

But how can he boast of these government policies?

People might draw the unmistakable conclusion that, despite pre-election chat about compassionate conservatism and an end to the nasty party, Cameron and company remain in thrall to the rich and powerful.

The Prime Minister’s sole message was a plea for voters to trust him and give him a chance to “finish the job we’ve started.”

It was classic Tory “jam tomorrow,” offering a land of opportunity in the future and a hard unrewarding grind for most people at present.

Every flat surface and even flatter speech at Tory conference was spattered with references to “hard-working people,” – the Tories‘ target for the 2015 election.

But the only pitch in their direction was flattery and favourable comparison with the millions of people denied the right to work, whom the government demeans as choosing a life on benefits.

In the real world, away from the Shangri-La populated by privately educated multimillionaire ministers, hard-working people are taking it on the chin every day.

Their average hourly rate of pay has fallen by 5.5 per cent since the conservative coalition took office, their pension contributions have increased to deliver less and price inflation continues to rise by 2.7 per cent according to CPI and 3.3 per cent for RPI, even though both measures underestimate the true cost of living for the low-paid.

Cameron brays about new jobs created by the private sector, but the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development calculates that a million of these are zero-hours contracts – four times the government estimate.

Housing is increasingly a nightmare for working people, with precious few new-build council homes and an impending government-generated house-price boom to make home ownership less possible for first-time buyers.

All Cameron could do to urge his audience into standing ovations was to rabbit on about nasty party patron saint Margaret Thatcher, the world’s “finest armed forces” and a point-scoring rejoinder to an anonymous Russian official that Britain is “a small island but a great country.”

His speech was a latter-day confirmation of Winston Churchill’s 1904 description of the Tories.

He called them “a party of great vested interests, banded together in a formidable confederation, corruption at home, aggression to cover it up abroad … sentiment by the bucketful, patriotism by the imperial pint, the open hand at the public exchequer, the open door at the public house, dear food for the millions, cheap labour for the millionaire.”

They are still backed by big business and the mass media, but the party’s membership is evaporating, from over 253,000 when Cameron became leader to 134,000 today, with an average age of 68.

This floundering government ought to be as easy to unseat as John Major’s in 1997.

But it will require clear and decisive policies that overturn Tory priorities, really challenge their big business allies and guarantee a speedy improvement in working people’s standard of living.

Obsorne alleges UK On The Mend


downloadHow intriguing that UK allegedly to be on the mend after it purported to be at 6% via George Obsorne. Well if it’s a strong choice between Obsorne vs Balls I know who I’m likely to believe hands down.

If the economy is on the mend then I’m sure many would join me by saying where are the jobs Osborne oh let us all guess the class of Champaign where the rich feeding of each other whilst low and middle income continues to pick up the crumbs of the table of the upper-class handed down by their butlers.

photoLets be clear that success of the Olympic  games was down to a Labour government who secured the games to come to the UK and the coalition are  on a high by claiming the credit as one of their successful story.
The question I would love to be answered is has G4s return the money to the government for not adequately supplying the security for the crowd and control and the stewards to cover the grounds me thinks not as the people’s army had to step in. Yet they have the cheek to stick two fingers at the coalition and say they will not pay it back. Almost all of Britain’s top political donors hand their cash over to bankroll the Conservatives, figures buried in the annual Rich List show.

download11Out of the 50 biggest donations made by individuals last year, 43 went to David Cameron’s party, as the coalition he leads continued to hand tax breaks to the rich while hammering ordinary workers.

The biggest Tory donor was upmarket metal dealer Michael Farmer, who gave them £1.3million.

The hedge fund founder, known as the “king of copper”, is worth £150million and is 522nd on the list of Britain and Ireland’s wealthiest.

Mr Farmer, 68, the Tory party’s co-Treasurer, embarrassed party chiefs last year when it emerged he had paid for son George to join Oxford University’s elite and controversial Bullingdon Club.

Mr Farmer also bailed out ­the Oxford Conservative Association when a racism row led to it being banned from holding events.

Second highest Tory backer is hedge fund boss Lord Fink, 55, who gave a huge £289,240. Worth £130million and the owner of a £10million London penthouse, he came 608th on the overall list.

Labour has accused Chancellor George Osborne of using last month’s Budget to hand a huge tax break to hedge fund bosses.

By axeing stamp duty reserve tax he saved them a total of £145million a year.

Third highest Tory backer is David Rowland, 67, who gave £287,248. He is so rich he actually owns a Luxembourg bank with his son Jonathan, 37.

The pair, recently given permission to open a branch of Banque Havilland in the UK and worth £700million, are ranked 126th.

Other backers include ex-Tory treasurer Peter Cruddas, who donated £215,244. He was forced to stand down over allegations he arranged dinners with the PM in exchange for party donations.

JCB founders Sir Anthony Bamford and family dug deep with a £188,500 donation while Sir Paul Ruddock – who was recently given a knighthood by Mr ­Cameron – coughed up £83,500.

The Tories also netted £50,000 from Wigan FC chairman Dave Whelan.And celebrity crimper and Lulu ex John Frieda gave a cut of his £150million by donating £62,260.

Richest Tory backers are Tetrapak billionaire Hans Rausing and family. Worth £5.1billion, they gave £98,000.

Meanwhile just five rich backers including Sir Alan Sugar gave money to Labour. Two of the top 50 donations went to the Lib Dems.

The Sunday Times Rich List was topped by Russian Alisher Usmanov, 59, who owns nearly 30% of Arsenal FC and is worth around £13.3billion.

Sir Paul Mc- Cartney, 70, still rock’n’rolling in it with around £680million, is the UK’s richest entertainer.

Let’s not forget the LibDems donors:

Top 50 donations to the Liberal Democrats

Donation to Amount Date From Category
Section 62 (12) PPERA 2000 £207,300.00 30/06/2001 Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust Company
Federal Party £40,000.00 01/12/2001 Mr P Yeldon Individual
Federal Party £38,000.00 12/12/2001 The Liberal Democrat Ball 2001 Unincorporated Association
Section 62 £31,000.00 31/03/2001 Lord Jacobs Individual
Federal Party £30,000.00 10/05/2001 Lord Jacobs Individual
Federal Party £30,000.00 15/06/2001 Lord Jacobs Individual
Federal Party £25,000.00 16/03/2001 Mr A H Wilkinson Individual
Bristol West Accounting Unit £23,908.39 20/03/2001 Coteval Ltd Company
Federal Party £22095.99 (in kind) 08/05/2001 Peter Bennett-Jones Individual
Federal Party £20919.46 (in kind) 07/06/2001 GJR Events Ltd Company
Hereford Accounting Unit £12,000.00 30/06/2001 Hereford Liberal Club Company
Federal Party £11,000.00 30/06/2001 Mr P Thurnham Individual
Federal Party £10,565.00 30/06/2001 Mr A Jukes Individual
Hillingdon Accounting Unit £10,000.00 16/02/2001 Mr Garth Underwood Individual
Cheadle Accounting Unit £10,000.00 22/03/2001 Mr Peter Yeldon Individual
Reading East Accounting Unit £10,000.00 21/06/2001 Reading Liberal Club Ltd Company
Cheltenham AU £10,000.00 20/12/2001 Mr P Baker Individual
Federal Party £10,000.00 22/11/2001 Mr P Thurnham Individual
Federal Party £10,000.00 19/12/2001 Mr A H Wilkinson Individual
Federal Party £9,000.00 11/06/2001 Hon David Layton Individual
Federal Party £8,016.33 10/04/2001 Mrs G Alefounder Individual
North Norfolk Accounting Unit £7,957.75 19/06/2001 Mr N Lamb Individual
Federal Party £7,500.00 05/11/2001 Hon David Layton Individual
Federal Party £6,748.02 16/08/2001 Manchester Airport PLC Company
Southend Accounting Unit £6,500.00 25/05/2001 Southend Liberal Club Limited Company
Federal Party £6,185.20 30/09/2001 McDonalds Hamburgers Ltd Company
Aylesbury Accounting Unit £6,000.00 23/03/2001 Hampden Buildings Ltd Company
Section 62 £6,000.00 31/03/2001 Hon Raymond Bonham-Carter Individual
Federal Party £6,000.00 30/03/2001 Sir Eddie Kulukundis Individual
Oldham Accounting Unit £6,000.00 02/04/2001 Oldham Lib Dem Council GP Unincorporated Association
Federal Party £6,000.00 30/06/2001 Lady Stevens Individual
Bath AU £6,000.00 13/11/2001 Roper Rhodes Ltd Company
Colne Valley Accounting Unit £5,950.00 01/06/2001 Mr G J Beever Individual
Federal Party £5,500.00 29/11/2001 Mr T Hope Individual
Federal Party £5,365.05 21/08/2001 Independent News & Media (UK) Ltd Company
Federal Party £5,250.00 15/08/2001 Mr D Pannick Individual
Section 62 (12) PPERA 2000 £5,172.24 01/06/2001 Mr P Crystal Individual
Section 62 (12) PPERA £5,100.00 01/07/2001 Sir Peter Parker Individual
Orpington Accounting Unit £5,000.00 19/03/2001 Orpington Liberal Club Unincorporated Association
Hereford Accounting Unit £5,000.00 13/05/2001 Farm Assist Ltd Company
Reading West Accounting Unit £5,000.00 21/06/2001 Reading Liberal Club Ltd Company
Colchester Accounting Unit £5,000.00 09/04/2001 Dr E Hall Individual
Caithness and Sutherland Accounting Unit £5,000.00 16/05/2001 Lord Kirkham Individual
Edinburgh Pentlands Accounting Unit £5,000.00 07/05/2001 Mr G Macnaughton Smith Individual
Section 62 (12) PPERA 2000 £5,000.00 30/06/2001 Mr P Thurnham Individual
Cheadle Accounting Unit £5,000.00 13/06/2001 Mr P Yeldon Individual
Business Forum AU £5,000.00 01/11/2001 Mr G P Ellis Individual
Ceredigon AU £4,800 (rent-free office space) 31/12/2001 Aberystwyth Liberal Association Unincorporated Association
Taunton AU £4,680.00 31/12/2001 Mr J A Horsley Individual
North Dorset Accounting Unit £4,500.00 28/05/2001 Ms E Gasson Individual
Islington AU £4,500.00 31/12/2001 Islington Liberal Democrats Council Group Unincorporated Association

Then there is coalition calling for the heads of the trade union to be handed to them on a platter over union funding. They seem to forget that their hands are tried too with donations from big businesses, bankers and millionaires oh have they forgotten about them can someone remind them. What they seem to forget what the trade unions give in donations to Labour is small compared to the fat cats gives to both the Conservatives and LibDems put together

Here comes the interesting bit all the political parties will be holding their annual conferences very soon they all will be mentioning about the economy international trade relations and social policies. The only difference both Conservatives and LibDems will be calling for further cuts for the short term but refusing to acknowledging the long term unemployment and talking down about immigration which they will forget that foreign companies brings many opportunities to the UK.

Ed-Miliband-and-Ed-Balls-006Labour must remember to move above the challenge and introduce policies that will bring back voters to us and never forget out core values which gave us the victories in 1997-2010. Granted there will be many critics but lets us remember why the Labour Party was formed and give the working class the aspirations to come out to vote for us and stop the backstabbing each other.

There are many will continue to argue from the far left that Labour should introduce policies that will not work and  they continue to talk down about many Labour Leaders yet not one of them have introduced policies that helped win elections during the 1980s which saw Labour in the wilderness until the 1997.

Let’s not forget that there are different levels of socialism granted some people will say they left Labour over Clause 4, and wars etc. If the hard left looks closely political parties has to move with the times as we live in a world that constantly changes. Labour is in the ideal place to make the changes. When Ed Miliband got elected he was quite right to say that Blair and Brown is history and it’s a time for Mililbandism well I say this many people can lead but it takes a true leader Leads by example by leading nation.

Let us all remember United We Stand Divided We Fall, its our chance to fight for Labour Party to save the Trade union link and fight in the Local Government, and European Elections in 2014 and again in 2015 Local and General Elections.

Changes into UK benefits system from the 1st -28th April 2013



ap_obama_newtown_shooting_jp_121214_wg
Quote of the day:

“If the people cannot trust their government to do the job for which it exists – to protect them and to promote their common welfare – all else is lost”.(President Obama)

My thoughts on the changes into UK benefits system from the 1st -28th April 2013:

On the 1st April 2013 will be remembered for two things April Fool’s Day and the other is the changes of our welfare system the following will come into effect they are:

Bedroom tax introduced

Thousands lose access to legal aid

Council tax benefit passes into local control

NHS commissioning changes for ever

Regulation of financial industry changes

50p tax rate scrapped for high earners

Disability living allowance scrapped

Benefit uprating begins

Welfare benefit cap

Universal credit introduced

bedroomtaxevictionsIn light what has been mentioned I say welcome back to the modern day of Thatcherism under the guise of the coalition government who has are hell bent on making the very low paid suffer to appease their party donors from both Conservative and Libdems. So far we have witnessed a number of Bedroom Tax demonstration and rallies across the UK which has been very peaceful and supported by the opposition parties across the UK. Whilst millionaires and expats endorsing their full support to the very ideology of the coalition.

Yet hardliner are the ones who are pulling the heartstrings on telling their leader what policies they have to implement. Frankly the many are suffering whilst the rich donors are robbing their hands which remind me of the story of Robin Hood but the difference is the crown ordering its servants to take from the poor to give the rich in the name of the king.

The tax financially penalises social and council tenants deemed to have a “spare” room – or forces them to move to a smaller property. If tenants refuse they face eviction. It will hit 650,000 people.

LvLuXLlrVEJWbBz-556x313-noPadAngry campaigners have sprung up across Britain, and on 30 April 2013 we made our voices heard. Campaigners assembled in Whitehall, London, and placed banners on the railings of Downing Street reading: “Axe the tax” and “David Cameron, blood on your hands.”

This helps to feed into the ideology of the right wing of the Tory Party cuts and how the poor and ordinary working people are being punished by self interest of greed and venality of the rich. Perhaps one of the main reasons the bedroom tax has generated many rumblings of a nationwide and national campaigns is because it violates our human rights.

corporate-fat-catA home, be it bought or rented, represents more than just shelter in our lives. This is even more so in the case of the poorest in society, people for whom moving every few years is not possible and, for many, undesirable even if it were. Some have argued that mobility is a luxury the poor cannot afford. In its place are community, roots, a sense of belonging. The millionaires, with their multiple houses and ability to move and travel on a whim, can never hope to understand.

For the most socially vulnerable in society a home is the one place they are entitled to feel completely secure and safe in a society in which they are blamed for their plight rather than regarded as victims of it. A home also represents a history, where children are brought up, parents pass away, in which good and bad times are shared. It is essential to a sense of being and self-worth, not to mention dignity. These things are under attack with the bedroom tax.

This is why the sheer cruelty of it transcends words such as iniquitous or unfair. It is nothing short of a violation of the human rights of those affected, compounded by the fact that it will have a disproportionate impact on the disabled and elderly and sick. The stress being suffered by its victims leading up to its implementation will already have been immeasurable, leaving them feeling even more vulnerable and isolated in the face of decisions being made affecting their lives in which they have no input whatever.

Securing rented accommodation in the private sector, which has already seen demand spike in recent years due to the near collapse of the mortgage market as a consequence of the financial crisis caused by the world of banking which is the end result of this recession, is a far from simple process. The demand for one-bedroom flats in particular far outstrips supply in every major city. recently I was in the position of seeking a one-bedroom flat in the public sector and as the council was knocking the tower block which I lived in for many years  it proved a horrible task of relocating to a different part of Birmingham.

To add insult to injury, the requirement of upfront fees and deposit that letting agencies demand means that anyone without savings is burnt at the very first hurdle. For people forced into this position as a consequence of the bedroom tax there is also the ludicrous situation whereby local councils will end up putting even more taxpayers’ money into the pockets of private landlords to meet rents on one-bedroom accommodation that are on average higher than they are in the social housing sector for two bedrooms.

I criticise the housing crisis at the behest of both Conservative and Labour Governments. This has brought the many to the point where, according to Shelter, two million households are currently waiting for social housing in England and Scotland, many of them languishing in temporary accommodation with young children. The solution to this crisis is not to force people already in social housing onto the mercy of the private sector but an emergency national programme of house-building in order to meet demand. Attempting to solve one human crisis by precipitating another describes a country governed by an incompetent government . This is a policy that has either been carefully calibrated to punish the poor – part of the mass experiment in human despair fashioned

Tory Party in Disarray Over European Convention on Human Rights


New ImageQuote of the day:

“To people who don’t or refuse to use their votes in all elections remember the Bedroom Tax, and European Convention on Human Rights. It’s no good to moan about it, do something about”.

New Image1My thoughts on Human rights convention:

I look back to the histrionic Labour victory 1997-2010 during its rein we witnessed many legislations introduced some from the European Parliament which benefit workers and different parts of the community. Let’s look at some of the policies like:

1. Longest period of sustained low inflation since the 60s.

2. Low mortgage rates.

3. Introduced the National Minimum Wage and raised it to £5.52.

4. Over 14,000 more police in England and Wales.

5. Cut overall crime by 32 per cent.

6. Record levels of literacy and numeracy in schools.

7. Young people achieving some of the best ever results at 14, 16, and 18.

8. Funding for every pupil in England has doubled.

9. Employment is at its highest level ever.

10. Written off up to 100 per cent of debt owed by poorest countries.

11. 85,000 more nurses.

12. 32,000 more doctors.

13. Brought back matrons to hospital wards.

14. Devolved power to the Scottish Parliament.

15. Devolved power to the Welsh Assembly.

16. Dads now get paternity leave of 2 weeks for the first time.

17. NHS Direct offering free convenient patient advice.

18. Gift aid was worth £828 million to charities last year.

19. Restored city-wide government to London.

20. Record number of students in higher education.

21. Child benefit up 26 per cent since 1997.

22. Delivered 2,200 Sure Start Children’s Centres.

23. Introduced the Equality and Human Rights Commission.

24. £200 winter fuel payment to pensioners & up to £300 for over-80s.

25. On course to exceed our Kyoto target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

26. Restored devolved government to Northern Ireland.

27. Over 36,000 more teachers in England and 274,000 more support staff and teaching assistants.

28. All full time workers now have a right to 24 days paid holiday.

29. A million pensioners lifted out of poverty.

30. 600,000 children lifted out of relative poverty.

31. Introduced child tax credit giving more money to parents.

32. Scrapped Section 28 and introduced Civil Partnerships.

33. Brought over 1 million social homes up to standard.

34. Inpatient waiting lists down by over half a million since 1997.

35. Banned fox hunting.

36. Cleanest rivers, beaches, drinking water and air since before the industrial revolution.

37. Free TV licences for over-75s.

38. Banned fur farming and the testing of cosmetics on animals.

39. Free breast cancer screening for all women aged between 50-70.

40. Free off peak local bus travel for over-60s.

41. New Deal – helped over 1.8 million people into work.

42. Over 3 million child trust funds have been started.

43. Free eye test for over 60s.

44. More than doubled the number of apprenticeships.

45. Free entry to national museums and galleries.

46. Overseas aid budget more than doubled.

47. Heart disease deaths down by 150,000 and cancer deaths down by 50,000.

48. Cut long-term youth unemployment by 75 per cent.

49. Free nursery places for every three and four-year-olds.

50. Free fruit for most four to six-year-olds at school.

download12The UK human rights act came into force thanks to a Labour Government. I don’t have anytime for Theresa May who is pandering to ultra right wing parties and groups and rightwing of the Conservatives for the withdrawal of Convention of Human Rights Act.

Granted at times there are laws that are in place that does protect the rights of prisoners and alleged terrorist but it is up to the government to appeal the High Court decision and argue why they feel that a person(s) is a national security risk. In general the act is there to serve everybody no matter what race, creed, disabilities and sexuality

See article below:

The Conservatives would consider leaving the European Convention on Human Rights if they won the 2015 election, the home secretary has said.

Theresa May told an event organised by the ConservativeHome site the party would also scrap the Human Rights Act.

She said it restricted the UK’s ability “to act in the national interest”.

A private poll by ex-party treasurer Lord Ashcroft, meanwhile, suggested the party would lose 93 marginal seats to Labour if the election was held now.

The BBC understands Mrs May was putting forward ideas for the next Conservative manifesto, and such a move was not current government policy.

The home secretary said she thought David Cameron would lead the party into the next election, and BBC political correspondent Ross Hawkins said there was no sign the speech heralded a leadership challenge.

It will be widely considered as an attempt by Mrs May to position herself for any future contest, our correspondent added.

Mrs May told the gathering she was sceptical whether the convention limited human rights abuses in other countries and suggested it restricted Britain’s ability to act in its own interests.

“When Strasbourg constantly moves the goalposts and prevents the deportation of dangerous men like Abu Qatada, we have to ask ourselves, to what end are we signatories to the convention?” she said.

“Are we really limiting human rights abuses in other countries? I’m sceptical.”

She said that “by 2015, we’ll need a plan for dealing with the European Court of Human Rights”.

“And yes, I want to be clear that all options – including leaving the convention altogether – should be on the table.”

She also called for greater use of the private sector in delivering public services and more state involvement in industrial planning.

The shadow home secretary Yvette Cooper accused Mrs May of a “blatant political pitch” to right-wing Tories, disillusioned with the prime minister’s leadership.

“It is clear that she is more concerned about appealing to… Tory back benchers and setting out an alternative to David Cameron and George Osborne than she is about a coherent policy for Government.

“She says in her opening paragraph, ‘Today’s event is all about a choice of leadership,’ – and its clear that today is another attempt to set out her stall”.

Meanwhile Lord Ashcroft, who owns Conservative Home, published the findings of his poll during a speech earlier at the conference in London.

More than 19,000 people were questioned in 213 British constituencies in January and February 2013. The poll suggested Labour would gain 109 seats in total, returning a total of 367 MPs to parliament, a majority of 84.

It said there would be an average swing of 8% to Labour in the Conservative’s most vulnerable seats.

The Liberal Democrats also stand to lose seats according to Lord Ashcroft’s research. The party would lose 17 constituencies to their coalition colleagues and 13 to Labour.

Poll ‘snapshot’

The former Tory Party treasurer, who has donated millions of pounds to the Conservatives, used the speech to dismiss earlier newspaper claims he has withdrawn support for the party.

The peer said he will fund polling research rather than continue to provide large financial donations.

He added: “I don’t want to see a Labour majority of 4, let alone 84. But I hope this puts the challenge into some sort of perspective.

“We have a long way to go to hold onto the seats we gained last time, let alone pick up many more.

“Things are slightly less grim than the headline polls suggest, and we have everything to play for,” Lord Ashcroft insisted.

But Conservative Party chairman Grant Shapps told activists the poll was simply “a snapshot” of what may happen.

He revealed he was knocking on doors on Saturday morning, saying: “I wasn’t out asking people for their votes, I was asking what we could do for them.”

He added: “That’s the most important lesson we can learn. We need to get out there and get to know people.

“We can spend the next two years working out strategies and trying to sub-divide votes – it will get us nowhere.”

The Conservative Home conference was organised to consider the strategies needed to help the party win broader support in 2015